Right now, the betting markets have him at something like 30 percent or above.' 'I mean, the odds markets had him at 9 percent of winning the presidency in 2016. 'I want to say that I do think that Donald Trump is stronger than he was politically in 2016,' Taylor said. Department of Homeland Security, claimed that betting markets had Trump at a 30 percent chance of winning the presidency in 2023, compared to nine percent in 2016. In an interview with CNN on July 23, 2023, Taylor, former chief of staff of the U.S. A former Trump security official recently told CNN that betting markets had tripled Trump's chances of winning the 2024 presidential race, compared to odds of only nine percent in the 2016 contest. Donald Trump speaks to supporters during a Farmers for Trump campaign event at the MidAmerica Center on July 7, 2023, in Council Bluffs, Iowa.